Tuesday 21 March 2017

Indian Bad Bank

Facts:

Non Performing Assets: Advances which are not recoverable / in default.

Total Gross NPA of Public and Private Sector banks stood at Rs.6 lakh crore (as on June 2016).

The above was due to the cleaning exercise undertaken by then Reserve Bank of India Governor Mr. Raghuram Rajan.

So the solution offered by bankers / economist was to create a “Bad Bank”.

A Bad Bank is one where the portion of distressed assets of other Banks is stored. These distressed assets are referred to as Non Performing Assets.

The supporters for the Bad Bank : Mr. Aditya Puri, Mr. Arvind Subramanian, Mr. Uday Kotak and surprisingly Mr. Raghuram Rajan was not in favour of it.

Let’s look into definition of Bad Bank from Investopedia:

“A bank set up to buy the bad loans of a bank with significant nonperforming assets at market price. By transferring the bad assets of an institution to the bad bank, the banks clear their balance sheet of toxic assets but would be forced to take write downs. Shareholders and bondholders stand to lose money from this solution (but not depositors). Banks that become insolvent as a result of the process can be recapitalized, nationalized or liquidated.”

The big question, who will recapitalize banks?

No marks for guessing, in India, the Government will have to step in (some newspaper already state that this should not be considered as Government “Bailout of crony capitalist”. I say : Yes?).

Today no one is aware about breakup of NPA, is it due to:

  • Loan waivers by Government 
  • Political loan to Entrepreneurs / Corporate etc  
  • Dubious Loan sanctioned due to efforts of Loan brokers / bank credit sanctioning team
  •  Genuine bad business

In India this thought process is echoed after the bankers of west started claiming it to be a appropriate one.

Jamie Dimon (JP Morgan Chase) states it to be “a great vehicle” for banks. We know the vital role played by bankers in 2008 credit crisis.

It is surprising that present Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank of India Mr. Acharya had stated in his research paper “The precarious condition of Public Sector Banks”:

“The onus of remedying this situation through radical reform lies primarily with the Government.”

In short tax payers’ money should be funneled into the incorrect decisions taken by the credit sanctioning authorities to businessmen.

Who are the beneficiaries?

  • Loan brokers / Bankers collided with entrepreneurs / corporates
  • Hiding inefficiencies of recovery department at Bank
  • The bankers belief that nothing can be done for recovery of Bad loans
The real challenge of Bad Bank according to Morya Longo is:

“The real problem, however, comes in the following step: the “Bad Bank” must re-sell the bad credit within three years, ideally for the same price they paid for it. If they can’t, they have to sell it for less and, according to the EBA, that loss would be returned to the original bank. “.

In India to whom the bad credit will be sold?

Answer: Ordinary Tax Payer by Tax Saving Bonds.

A bad bank will be like a Loan waiver / Government Bail-out and something which should be avoided at all cost.

Private bankers state this will help to revive the credit in the economy as Bank NPA will be artificially improved and more loans / credit can be extended to business for economic growth.

My question is can Bankers guarantee that henceforth (after Bad Bank) there will be no NPA?

I don’t know whether any regulatory requirements regarding Bad Bank, passed by the Parliament / listed down by Reserve Bank of India.

I think handling Bad Bank is not going to be an easy task and it’s better to ask banks to reduce Non Performance Assets by strong recovery mechanisms.

Prime Minister Modi Ji " Please do not endorse Bad Bank".

Reference:

Thursday 16 March 2017

Democracy – Opposition party

Below is an idea which if already thought by other then the reader may bring it’s reference here, so that reference will be stated here. This is an attempt to balance democracy.

Constitution of India states “India, also known as Bharat, is a Union of States. It is a Sovereign Socialist Secular Democratic Republic with a parliamentary system of government.”

The Parliamentary System i.e. Parliament is “the supreme legislative body of India” and “The Indian Parliament comprises of the President and the two Houses - Rajya Sabha (Council of States) and Lok Sabha (House of the People).

The Composition of the political parties / Parties /Independents in the sixteenth Lok Sabha is listed below (Top 10 out of 36 Parties / Independents):

Sl. No.
Party Name
No. of Members
Percentage (%)
1
Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP)
282
52.22
2
Indian National Congress(INC)
44
8.15
3
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(AIADMK)
37
6.85
4
All India Trinamool Congress(AITC)
34
6.3
5
Biju Janata Dal(BJD)
20
3.7
6
Shiv Sena(SS)
18
3.33
7
Telugu Desam Party(TDP)
16
2.96
8
Telangana Rashtra Samithi(TRS)
11
2.04
9
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party(YSR Congress Party)
9
1.67
10
Communist Party of India (Marxist)(CPI(M))
9
1.67


480
88.89

Total Members (in 16th Lok Sabha)
540


The second largest party comprises of 44 seats which is way short of the leading party. When Government is formed all the ministers are from majority parties along with its allies.
Minor opposition party in the Parliament is a concern for healthy democracy.  
We have to remember that “Opposition can be your friend. Opposition can be the fire that tempers the better sword, as well as the ice that cools a fiery temper. Don't ever run from it; learn from it!”  by Jack R. RoseThe Cedar Post.
Presently, India has 56 ministries and all of these are occupied by Majority party and its allies. To have a better balance in running Lok Sabha 56 ministries should be apportioned to the top 10 (or 3 /5) parties at an agreed percentage (sample provided below):
Sl. No.
Party Name
Members
Percentage (%)
Ministries
1
Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP)
282
80%
          45
2
Indian National Congress(INC)
44
4%
             2
3
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(AIADMK)
37
2%
             1
4
All India Trinamool Congress(AITC)
34
2%
             1
5
Biju Janata Dal(BJD)
20
2%
             1
6
Shiv Sena(SS)
18
2%
             1
7
Telugu Desam Party(TDP)
16
2%
             1
8
Telangana Rashtra Samithi(TRS)
11
2%
             1
9
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party(YSR Congress Party)
9
2%
             1
10
Communist Party of India (Marxist)(CPI(M))
9
2%
             1
56
The allotment of ministries such as the most impact making such as Finance, Home to lesser Impact ones such as Statistics and Program Implementation, Tourism, Youth Affairs and Sports etc. should flow from the Top to 10th ranked party in the Parliament.
Yes this will create question about whether Government will work in Unison as there will be difficulty in executing common Government policies and Party manifestoes promised to voters.
Basic aim of the Parliament system should be to allow best minds of other parties, which could not reach majority, to be part of Government and participate in its functioning.
Since Independence, Indian National Congress has run the Government maximum with Bharatiya Janata Party distant second, other parties like AIADMK, CPM etc, would never get an opportunity unless they ally with any one of the major parties.
By distributing the ministries compulsory there will be no need for a majority party to ally with others or give rise to horse trading when the numbers are short.
The limitations are:
  • The desire / strong opposition by parties to run a Government where even your rivals will be part of the Government.
  • In case of fractured mandate distribution of ministries will create difficulty in smooth functioning of the Government.
  • In case of under performance / corruption / scam will leading party accept the responsibility for other parties / will turn a blind eye / remove as they belong to rival party / opposition will create problems for taking action on concerned ministries.
  • Others (not included / thought of)

The principal gain is the opportunity for other parties to contribute in Functioning of Government.

The above as mentioned by Sherlock Homes is a Food For Thought.

Sources / References:

Tuesday 14 March 2017

Court Cases - India

It is surprising that in India court cases drag and multinational corporations take advantage of it.

Classic case: Satyam Scandal (2009).

In the month of January 2017, Supreme Court ordered “Complete the case within six months”.

On the contrary, SEC Order (2011-82) stated “The PW India affiliates agreed to settle the SEC’s charges and pay a $6 million penalty, the largest ever by a foreign-based accounting firm in an SEC enforcement action.”

It is shocking and disbelief that “PwC has challenged Sebi’s power to conduct an enquiry of a chartered accountancy firm regulated by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI)”. PWC is represented by noted lawyer Harish Salve.

I find it difficult to accept that PWC India settled case with SEC but find it difficult to accept SEBI order even though PWC India knows very clearly that Satyam Scam was a disgrace for Indian Accounting firms. If we speak to PWC India they will give logical reasons as to why they are disputing.

It took two years to settle with SEC and with SEBI it is work in progress past 8 years.
 
Indian Court Cases a wonderful display of prolonged illness of Indian Democracy.

Sources / References: